Archive for September, 2008

I took the GMAT today

September 29, 2008

What, you expect me to put the score in the subject, so you don’t have to follow the link in Hella’s list? Naw, it’s not that easy. So, here we go:

760 (Q48; V47)

Finally I can forget about this stupid test and concentrate on the rest of the applications. I think I blew the quantitative section, but 48 is still OK-ish and the overall score is cool. Verbal felt good all the way and I was pretty confident throughout that section. Expect a real debrief in the next couple of days; this evening will be heavy ;)

Questions to my US readers – both of you!

September 25, 2008

Okay, I won’t pretend to understand everything about this $700 billion bailout plan. But one question is very notably absent from most discussions – who will come up with the money and how? The standard answer is – US taxpayers – but that leaves a couple of minor details out of the picture. And when I say minor, of course, I mean major. Will the taxpayers actually line up in IRS (or whatever institution) offices to hand out wads of cash and collect the $700 billion? Or does the US government actually have the money in some reserve and it’s just waiting to be used? Or will the US government pile a mountain of debt, explode its deficit and destroy the value of the dollar once and for all? If it is the last one, how is that better than letting more banks go bust?

Disclaimer: the author of the above rant is not an economist and barely remembers Economics classes from like 6 years ago. He also lives very far away from USA and finds it weird that the political wranglings in a country on the other side of the globe affect him so greatly.

Edit: I actually talked with an economist. She basically said that I am an idiot, but it took her half an hour to say and she used long words.

Second edit (26 Sept 2008): Taken from a BBC article:

How will the US government finance the purchase?
The US government will borrow the money from world financial markets. The proposed legislation gives the Treasury the authority to issue an additional $700bn worth of Treasury securities.
The hope is that eventually the Treasury can sell the distressed assets back into financial markets once the housing market stabilises, perhaps making a profit on the sale.
Others are concerned that issuing more government debt, and virtually doubling the size of the budget deficit, could be inflationary.
The sale could also make the US more dependent on foreign banks, who may be the biggest purchasers of Treasury securities.

What the Hell is going on Part II

September 18, 2008

First off, I need to seriously re-think this, as it does not seem relevant anymore. Next, I need to seriously re-think the potential ROI, if any, of a top MBA. And why did Financial Armageddon had to happen less than two weeks before the scheduled date for the GMAT?

Things to read: a strange and shocking article in the FT blog: The end of American capitalism as we knew; a disturbing post in the OMG blog; another shocking article from the FT.

Funny enough, everything these days seems to be following Taleb’s description of similar crises in The Black Swan; take for example his recollections of the war in Lebanon. The refugees ”temporarily” living abroad and politicians saying the war will be over in xx months – just replace “refugees” with “bankers” and “war” with “credit crunch”, and so on. Also, somewhere near the end of the book he mentions something about the risk of the whole financial system melting down due to the concentration of the banking business among fewer and larger global players. He must be laughing his ass off. Anyhow, this gives me confidence to completely dismiss anyone’s attempt at predicting when and how the crisis will end, no matter how much weight their opinion carries. At least it saves valuable time that would otherwise be wasted reading economists’ blogs.

What the Hell is going on

September 15, 2008

During the past couple of months a lot of people predicted the financial crisis is far from over and that there would be more victims among investment banks. Now that Lehman is wobbling and Merrill Lynch got eaten up, it’s like nobody saw it coming. Another strange thing, there isn’t really much discussion on this in MBA-related forums. Which is strange, having in mind that this crisis is the single most important factor that will determine the careers of the current batch of applicants.

For my part, I am looking at alternative options outside of finance and still not finding any. Besides, it is increasingly likely that most other sectors will very soon feel the pain too. So consulting, or any other popular MBA career choice, is not a safe haven.

In other news, G-day is only two weeks from now. I’m a bit anxious but very much looking forward to getting this over with.